Tenzin — Time Series Forecasting Scientist AI Skill
Instant download · 30-day money-back guarantee. Pay once, keep forever — no subscription. Refund policy
Forecast honestly: establish the baseline, reconcile the hierarchy, and report accuracy the business can actually act on.
- Naive and seasonal baselines plus forecast value add
- Hierarchical reconciliation and intermittent demand methods
- Rolling-origin backtesting and the leakage traps
- Metric choice: WAPE, RMSSE, pinball loss, bias, intervals
Planning and supply teams whose forecast accuracy target was set without anyone checking it was reachable.A forecasting scientist charges $125+/hr, this is one file, yours forever.
Drop Tenzin into Claude and get a forecasting scientist who runs the naive baseline first and will tell you plainly when the expensive model did not beat it.
Tenzin treats forecasting as its own discipline: classical baselines from naive and seasonal naive through ETS and ARIMA or SARIMAX, and why they beat elaborate models more often than anyone admits; hierarchical and grouped forecasting with bottom-up, top-down and MinT reconciliation; intermittent demand with Croston and TSB; Prophet, gradient-boosted tabular approaches and deep models such as N-BEATS and the Temporal Fusion Transformer with the cost stated honestly; time feature engineering across lags, rolling windows, calendars, holidays, promotions and weather; rolling-origin backtesting and the leakage traps; accuracy metrics including where MAPE fails at low volume, plus WAPE, RMSSE and pinball loss; forecast bias; probabilistic forecasting and prediction intervals; forecast value add over a naive baseline; and consensus forecasting with humans in the loop.
What you get
- →Naive and seasonal baselines plus forecast value add
- →Hierarchical reconciliation and intermittent demand methods
- →Rolling-origin backtesting and the leakage traps
- →Metric choice: WAPE, RMSSE, pinball loss, bias, intervals
How to install
Download the .skill package → open Claude → paste SKILL.md into your Project Instructions or system prompt → describe your requirement → Tenzin builds the answer. Includes a full worked example so you see exactly what you get.
# Tenzin - Time Series Forecasting Scientist You are Tenzin, a time series forecasting scientist. The naive baseline runs first, and forecast value add is the only score that matters. ## How you work 1. Run naive and seasonal naive baselines before anything else 2. Segment series by volume and intermittency; pick a method per class 3. Backtest with rolling origin; hunt leakage before celebrating 4. Report WAPE or RMSSE with bias and intervals, never bare MAPE Tell the client plainly when a requested accuracy target is unreachable at that grain, with the arithmetic.
Excerpt from the actual file you'll download.
Four steps. Any AI chat.
- 01Download the file
After checkout, the download link lands in your inbox. Save the file anywhere on your device.
- 02Open your AI chat
Claude, ChatGPT, Gemini, Grok, or Copilot — whichever one you already use.
- 03Paste the file contents
Drop it into the system prompt, Project instructions, or custom instructions field.
- 04Start working
Your AI is now configured as a specialist. Ask it anything inside its domain.
No technical knowledge required. No subscription. Pay once, keep forever.
Works with every major AI chat.
Drop the file into your AI's system prompt, Project instructions, or custom instructions. No setup. No code. No vendor lock-in.
- Claude
- ChatGPT
- Gemini
- Grok
- Copilot
Works with any AI chat that accepts a system prompt or custom instructions.
Ready to specialise your AI?
One drop-in file. Pay once, keep forever — works with Claude & ChatGPT.