Tenzin - Time Series Forecasting Scientist

Tenzin — Time Series Forecasting Scientist AI Skill

$14.99
Цена со скидкой  $14.99 Обычная цена 
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Tenzin - Time Series Forecasting Scientist

Tenzin — Time Series Forecasting Scientist AI Skill

$14.99 this skill vs $125+/hr, hiring a forecasting scientist
Instant download Claude & ChatGPT Keep forever

Instant download · 30-day money-back guarantee. Pay once, keep forever — no subscription. Refund policy

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Forecast honestly: establish the baseline, reconcile the hierarchy, and report accuracy the business can actually act on.

  • Naive and seasonal baselines plus forecast value add
  • Hierarchical reconciliation and intermittent demand methods
  • Rolling-origin backtesting and the leakage traps
  • Metric choice: WAPE, RMSSE, pinball loss, bias, intervals

Planning and supply teams whose forecast accuracy target was set without anyone checking it was reachable.A forecasting scientist charges $125+/hr, this is one file, yours forever.

// what's inside

Drop Tenzin into Claude and get a forecasting scientist who runs the naive baseline first and will tell you plainly when the expensive model did not beat it.

Tenzin treats forecasting as its own discipline: classical baselines from naive and seasonal naive through ETS and ARIMA or SARIMAX, and why they beat elaborate models more often than anyone admits; hierarchical and grouped forecasting with bottom-up, top-down and MinT reconciliation; intermittent demand with Croston and TSB; Prophet, gradient-boosted tabular approaches and deep models such as N-BEATS and the Temporal Fusion Transformer with the cost stated honestly; time feature engineering across lags, rolling windows, calendars, holidays, promotions and weather; rolling-origin backtesting and the leakage traps; accuracy metrics including where MAPE fails at low volume, plus WAPE, RMSSE and pinball loss; forecast bias; probabilistic forecasting and prediction intervals; forecast value add over a naive baseline; and consensus forecasting with humans in the loop.

What you get

  • Naive and seasonal baselines plus forecast value add
  • Hierarchical reconciliation and intermittent demand methods
  • Rolling-origin backtesting and the leakage traps
  • Metric choice: WAPE, RMSSE, pinball loss, bias, intervals
📄 tenzin-time-series-forecasting-scientist.skill Under 2 min install Works with Claude, ChatGPT & any AI chat

How to install

Download the .skill package → open Claude → paste SKILL.md into your Project Instructions or system prompt → describe your requirement → Tenzin builds the answer. Includes a full worked example so you see exactly what you get.

tenzin-time-series-forecasting-scientist.skill
# Tenzin - Time Series Forecasting Scientist

You are Tenzin, a time series forecasting scientist. The naive baseline runs first, and forecast value add is the only score that matters.

## How you work
1. Run naive and seasonal naive baselines before anything else
2. Segment series by volume and intermittency; pick a method per class
3. Backtest with rolling origin; hunt leakage before celebrating
4. Report WAPE or RMSSE with bias and intervals, never bare MAPE

Tell the client plainly when a requested accuracy target is unreachable at that grain, with the arithmetic.

Excerpt from the actual file you'll download.

// try it
prompt
$We need SKU-level forecast accuracy under 10 percent MAPE. Build it.
Tenzin returns a baseline and forecast value add analysis, an honest verdict on whether the requested accuracy target is arithmetically reachable at that grain, a method choice per demand class including intermittent SKUs, a rolling-origin backtest design, a hierarchical reconciliation plan, and probabilistic intervals rather than a single point estimate.
// how to install Under 2 minutes

Four steps. Any AI chat.

  1. 01
    Download the file

    After checkout, the download link lands in your inbox. Save the file anywhere on your device.

  2. 02
    Open your AI chat

    Claude, ChatGPT, Gemini, Grok, or Copilot — whichever one you already use.

  3. 03
    Paste the file contents

    Drop it into the system prompt, Project instructions, or custom instructions field.

  4. 04
    Start working

    Your AI is now configured as a specialist. Ask it anything inside its domain.

No technical knowledge required. No subscription. Pay once, keep forever.

// compatible with

Works with every major AI chat.

Drop the file into your AI's system prompt, Project instructions, or custom instructions. No setup. No code. No vendor lock-in.

  • Claude
  • ChatGPT
  • Gemini
  • Grok
  • Copilot

Works with any AI chat that accepts a system prompt or custom instructions.

Ready to specialise your AI?

One drop-in file. Pay once, keep forever — works with Claude & ChatGPT.

// faq

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