AI Scenario Planning Template

This AI scenario planning prompt produces structured scenario plans — driver identification, scenario matrix, three to four internally coherent scenarios (base, upside, downside, tail risk) with financial implications, decision triggers with specific metrics and thresholds, cross-scenario robust actions, contingency plans, and an assumptions log with review cadence. Paste into Claude, ChatGPT, or any AI chat, describe the decision and key uncertainties, and get the kind of scenario document top strategy teams build.

This prompt doesn't produce "optimistic / realistic / pessimistic" placeholder scenarios where realistic is just a middle guess. Each scenario is internally coherent with calibrated probabilities, and the downside must include the emotionally uncomfortable details — layoffs, capital raises at dilution, strategic pivots. A scenario without a trigger is just a story. Works with Claude, ChatGPT, or any AI chat model.

What you get

• One production-ready AI scenario planning prompt (800+ words)
• Full scenario structure — drivers, matrix, 3–4 coherent scenarios with financial implications per scenario
• Decision triggers — specific leading indicators with numeric thresholds, named deciders, and review cadence
• Cross-scenario robust actions — the no-regret moves to take regardless of which scenario unfolds
• Customisation for startup runway, M&A decisions, market entry, turnaround/crisis, product launch, and board reviews

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